Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000738 0.000844 0.000956 0.001084 0.001224 0.001373 0.001544
2025-01-12 0.000562 0.000707 0.000872 0.001071 0.001304 0.001567 0.001883
2025-01-19 0.000463 0.000622 0.000812 0.001052 0.001344 0.001685 0.002109
2025-01-26 0.000408 0.000581 0.000796 0.001077 0.001430 0.001854 0.002395
2025-02-02 0.000364 0.000546 0.000779 0.001096 0.001504 0.002006 0.002660
2025-02-09 0.000314 0.000496 0.000739 0.001078 0.001528 0.002093 0.002845
2025-02-16 0.000270 0.000450 0.000698 0.001054 0.001539 0.002161 0.003004
2025-02-23 0.000245 0.000426 0.000685 0.001067 0.001596 0.002288 0.003241
2025-03-02 0.000222 0.000404 0.000672 0.001075 0.001647 0.002407 0.003467
2025-03-09 0.000191 0.000366 0.000631 0.001043 0.001639 0.002445 0.003586
2025-03-16 0.000164 0.000331 0.000594 0.001011 0.001628 0.002476 0.003696
2025-03-23 0.000148 0.000311 0.000577 0.001008 0.001658 0.002564 0.003882
2025-03-30 0.000133 0.000294 0.000562 0.001008 0.001692 0.002660 0.004084
2025-04-06 0.000118 0.000273 0.000541 0.000998 0.001710 0.002732 0.004253
2025-04-13 0.000103 0.000252 0.000517 0.000980 0.001715 0.002785 0.004396
2025-04-20 0.000097 0.000246 0.000519 0.001003 0.001783 0.002930 0.004672
2025-04-27 0.000090 0.000239 0.000518 0.001021 0.001843 0.003064 0.004935
2025-05-04 0.000080 0.000222 0.000497 0.001004 0.001847 0.003116 0.005080
2025-05-11 0.000069 0.000204 0.000473 0.000981 0.001841 0.003151 0.005199
2025-05-18 0.000064 0.000197 0.000470 0.000993 0.001890 0.003270 0.005444
2025-05-25 0.000059 0.000190 0.000464 0.001001 0.001933 0.003380 0.005677
2025-06-01 0.000050 0.000173 0.000439 0.000971 0.001910 0.003389 0.005759
2025-06-08 0.000043 0.000157 0.000414 0.000940 0.001886 0.003393 0.005834